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Bombardier Business Aircraft | Market Forecast 2011-2030

Orders, Deliveries and Revenues

Business Jet Industry 20-Year Deliveries Outlook Units, calendar years, 1991-2030

With the continued recovery of the worldwide economy in 2010 and 2011, leading indicators for business aviation are improving, resulting in increased orders for new business jets and much fewer cancellations. This trend is expected to continue, primarily driven by growth in emerging markets and replacement demand in more established markets. However, industry deliveries tend to lag order intake as manufacturers strive to maintain acceptable backlog levels. As a result, industry deliveries for 2011 are expected to be relatively flat when compared to 2010 (approximately 530 aircraft). Improved orders and backlog should result in increasing industry deliveries beginning in 2012. The recovery in deliveries is then expected to be strong and we forecast that the industry will surpass the prior delivery peak year (2008) by as early as 2014.

1991-2000 3,600 units

2001-2010 6,400 units

2011-2020 10,000 units

2021-2030 14,000 units

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91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Sources: Bombardier Forecasting Model.

Increased orders and backlog should result in increasing industry deliveries beginning in 2012.